Ƙungiyar ƙasashen masu fitar da mai da abokan hulɗarta, OPEC+, ta amince da ƙara yawan man da take hakowa da gangar mai 206,000 a kowace rana (bpd) daga watan Mayun 2026, a cewar majiyoyin da suka zanta da kamfanin dillancin labarai na Reuters.
Sai dai ana hasashen cewa wannan ƙarin ba zai yi tasiri sosai ba, sakamakon rikice-rikicen siyasa da ke gudana a duniya, musamman rikicin da ya haɗa Amurka da Isra’ila da Iran, wanda ya dagula samar da mai a wasu manyan ƙasashe masu arzikin man fetur.
Mashigar ruwa ta Strait of Hormuz, wadda ke da muhimmanci wajen jigilar mai a duniya, ta kasance a rufe tun ƙarshen watan Fabrairu, lamarin da ya takaita fitar da mai daga ƙasashe kamar Saudiyya, Iraki, Kuwait da Hadaddiyar Daular Larabawa. A lokaci guda kuma, samar da mai a Rasha na ci gaba da fuskantar ƙuntatawa sakamakon takunkumi da lalacewar kayayyakin more rayuwa da yaƙi ya haifar.
Masu nazari sun kiyasta cewa tsakanin gangar mai miliyan 12 zuwa 15 a rana—kimanin kashi 15 cikin 100 na arzikin man duniya—rikicin ya shafa, wanda hakan ya zama ɗaya daga cikin manyan tangardar samar da mai a tarihin zamani.
Ko da rikicin ya ƙare nan ba da jimawa ba, masana sun ce zai ɗauki watanni kafin a dawo da cikakken samarwa saboda lalacewar kayayyakin more rayuwa. Wani masani ya ce, “Manufar ƙarin samar da mai na iya kasancewa a rubuce kawai a wannan lokaci na gajeren lokaci.”
A shekarar 2025, OPEC+ ta fara sassauta rage yawan hakar mai da ta yi a baya, inda ta ƙara ƙimar samarwa da gangar mai miliyan 2.9 a rana kafin ta dakatar da ƙarin a farkon 2026. Wannan sabon ƙarin na watan Mayu ya yi daidai da wanda aka amince da shi a watan Afrilu daga manyan mambobi takwas na ƙungiyar.
Ga Najeriya, lamarin na da ɓangarori biyu: hauhawar farashin mai na iya ƙara kuɗaɗen shiga, amma a lokaci guda samar da mai a cikin gida na ci gaba da raguwa.
Adadin man da Najeriya ke hakowa ya ragu zuwa gangar mai miliyan 1.31 a rana a watan Fabrairun 2026, daga miliyan 1.45 a watan Janairu, sakamakon satar mai, lalata bututun mai, da kuma matsalolin kayayyakin more rayuwa.
Masu nazari sun ce duk wani gibi na gangar mai 100,000 a rana na jawo asarar biliyoyin naira a kowane wata ga Najeriya, lamarin da ke rage ƙarfin tattalin arziki tare da ƙara matsin lamba kan kasuwar canjin kuɗi, duk da cewa gwamnati ta sanya burin samar da gangar mai miliyan 2.6 a rana a kan farashin dala 64 a kowace ganga a kasafin kuɗin 2026.
